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"What is the scale of damage to the Rheinsatz army now, Mr. Ai?"

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The death toll has already exceeded 15,000. However, if we include the wounded, we estimate that the damage will be even greater.

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"That's the effect of the magic gun. They hurt the soldiers and make it harder for them to retreat. Surprisingly, the troops who are not dead but only wounded and unable to move are a weight for the army when they retreat.

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"Oh, by the way, you said that the magic gun doesn't have that much offensive power. That means quite a few people have been injured.

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"Yes. But I didn't think it would be this one-sided. The only way to turn the tide is for the Reinisatz forces to try and turn the tables on the general's main camp."

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"I assume that the progress of this battle up to this point has been as planned by Mr. Ars Barka. Ai's preliminary forecast of the war situation has also been largely in line with our expectations."

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"Oh, come on, really?　Are you saying that the Eye could have seen this battle coming?"

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"Affirmative. I predicted it according to the laws of the battlefield, the knowledge of which was given to me by Master Ars Varka."

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　A little time has passed since the battle of the Radial Plain began.

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　The damage to the Reinisatz forces was unrelenting due to sweeping attacks by magic guns, long-range attacks by cavalrymen, and even stone throwers.

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　Under normal circumstances, the Reinisatz forces would have no choice but to retreat.

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　However, the effect of the radio broadcasts and the large number of wounded soldiers prevented them from taking that option.

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　However, this is a frightening situation.

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　The Reinisatz forces, after all, have a trump card.

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　If they somehow managed to cut into the headquarters where the general was, and somehow counteracted the effect of the sealing bracelet and used [Setsuna], they might be able to turn the tables.

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　No matter how advantageous the battle is, a momentary lapse of guard can be fatal.

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　Therefore, the general in the field is probably not as relieved as the outsiders who are watching the battle.

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　Speaking of such things, you say that Ai could have predicted the outcome of this battle to some extent in advance.

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　No, it would be impossible.

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　But Ai, as a virtual persona, would not tell a lie.

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　So, did she really know what was going to happen up to this point?

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"What's that law of war?　Did the general teach the Eye?"

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"Yes. I have not finished examining it yet, but I was taught Lanchester's laws. It is a law that predicts how much damage will occur in the event of a battle based on the difference in strength between the two sides.

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"What's that?　I've never heard of it. Is there really such a thing?"

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"Sounds interesting. Mr. Ai, what is this Lanchester's law?

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It is a law that assumes the number of survivors in a battle by an organization called an army. In the case of battles in modern organized armies such as the Balkan and Fontana armies, it is possible to determine the result by the square of the forces of both sides."

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"......, I'm not sure, but how would you put it simply and specifically?"

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"Suppose, for example, that one army has 1,000 men and the other army has 600 men. If the battle continues until one of the two armies has no survivors, how many will survive?

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"If you mean until one of them reaches zero, wouldn't it simply be 1000 minus 600 and 400 people survive?　It's not that simple, is it?"

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"In the case of an unorganized classical army, one would expect that the result would be approximately the same as a first-order law. However, for a modern army, the second-order law applies. In that case, an army of 600 men would be wiped out and an army of 1,000 men would survive with 800 men.

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"Oh, that's going to happen?　That's a great victory. ...... But if we're talking about that, wouldn't the one with the greater number of forces have an overwhelming advantage?　In this battle, the Reinisatz army outnumbers the Reinisatz army by a factor of 10, you know?　If that is the case, I think the Barka army will be wiped out and the Reinisatz army will suffer almost no damage."

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"The previous example is just a concrete example to make it easier to understand. In the previous example, the calculation was based on the assumption that the strength of one person is the same as that of another. In reality, however, this is not the case. The knight is stronger than the common soldier, and the head class is stronger than the common soldier, and the head class is stronger than the common soldier.

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"Oh, yes, that's right. I've heard it said that a squire of a knight can fight against 10 common soldiers and win, and a knight can fight against 10 squires and win. And the one who can win against more than one of those knights is the head of the family, right?"

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"Yes. Therefore, when we calculate using the laws of war, we generally incorporate the figures conventionally used in our calculations as the strength of the battle. However, there are other factors that should not be overlooked when considering the strength of the battlefield.

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"I see. I see what you mean, ay. You mean the quality of the equipment?　Even if there are only a few knights and heads of families, a well-equipped army will be more powerful. That's what I mean by predicting the outcome based on the strength of both sides, not just on the number of men. Does it mean that the Barka army, which is well-equipped with magic guns, magic swords, and armor, is actually more powerful than the Reinsatz army, even though it is smaller in number?"

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"That is correct, Vargas van Valles. The number of men, the quality of equipment, and the number of knights and heads of families must be taken into account when calculating with the laws of warfare. And it is not surprising that the Balkans and the Reinsatz are superior in terms of overall strength to the Balkans.

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　I see.

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　I don't know if this law is really true or not.

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　But I do know what you mean.

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　Before I came under the command of a general, the battlefield was basically an individual battle where there were only a few of us.

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　You just fought the opponent in front of you, and no matter how many troops were clashing with each other, in the end, it was just a one-on-one battle fought by many.

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　Therefore, it was easier to win a battle if a strong man boosted the morale of his allies by his successes.

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　However, I think that the situation started to change drastically when the general started to build the Fontana army.

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　It became a battle between organizations rather than an extension of one-on-one battles.

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　It is because they gave various roles to their soldiers in the form of engineers, cavalrymen, and correspondents that it became a group war by an organization.

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　And after that, I felt that it was no longer a simple case of the one with the greater number of soldiers winning.

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　When Kyle, who is good at military operations, takes command, it is only in organized battles that he is able to win the battles in an interesting way.

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　However, I had never heard that a general had such a law that could predict the outcome of a battle.

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　I had never heard of it before.

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　But it may be because he knew that, he kept spending money to equip his army with better equipment to improve the war potential of his army.

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　So, he must have known it for a long time.

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　I might not be able to wait too long for this.

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　I, who was made to be a general by a traditional peasant, may not be able to keep up with the military from now on if I do not consider such a thing when I lead the army.

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　I felt impatience in my heart as I thought of the general who had continued to achieve overwhelming results despite his small number of men against the hegemonic aristocrats.

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